The outcome of a stable economic output with fewer workers and rising incomes is anathema to the ruling political class who demands a growing economy to tax in order to increase their power. A stable economy with growing per capital income should be the objective in a low birthrate situation. The fixation with GDP growth, instead of per capita or per working-age person, needs to be swept away.
It's always sad to read this kind of piece, where the author ignores the performative cruelty inherent in Don's immigration policies. There is a legitimate debate to be had with good faith actors of every perspective on these issues. There is also a way to execute those consensus policies without the violence and cruelty we've witnessed.
A sober analysis of administration policy must acknowledge this reality to be taken seriously. There are fellow human beings involved, we should be able to act like a civilized nation.
Establishment elites like AC have a special responsibility to lead on the values embedded in our Declaration. Assuming they believe in them...
The cruelty began with Dems who saw Blue State populations shrinking and decided to open the border, to spare Dems 2030 Reapportionment slaughter. Blue States will lose 10-12 House seats during the 2030 Reapportionment thanks to Americans with a choice, refusing to continue to dwell under Blue Rule. Without Biden's migrants they would likely lose a half dozen more.
The legal community has long assumed Sect 2 of the Voting Rights Act would fall and hand Reps 10-20 more House seats, after its' curtailment, if the law wasn't invalidated in whole.
The loss of 20-30 House seats, all gerrymandered for Reps before an election begins, is nearly insurmountable for Dems. This left Dems one option before 2030, to remain electorally relevant. Dissolve the border and offer Blue State migrants everything from free 5 star hotels, to free medical care, phones and delivered laundry, if they propped up sagging Blue State populations.
Dems knew the impending fallout. Immigration Law has not changed in decades. Mass deportations were assured, but Dems were playing a numbers game. If even 5 million of the 10 million remain after Trump, Dems are far better off than had the border remained in tact.
Most Americans have no idea millions of people roam the US with Final Orders of Deportation in hand, or that Dems waived 1.5 million previous deportees back in to the US under Biden, despite a lifetime ban.
The situation is horribly cruel. The creation of a permanent lower caste always is. The blame however does not belong to Trump, but with Progressives faced with the choice of amending their policies to appeal to Americans or importing people like livestock to be used for Reapportionment rescue.
Republicans are the party that has benefited from unfettered illegal immigration as an anachronistic law provided fast-track citizenship to Cubans that entered the country illegally. Remember Elian Gonzalez?? Cuban exiles including Rubio threw a hissy fit because law and tradition and common decency said a father has more rights over his son than crazy “cousins” declaring “finders keepers, losers weepers!” with a toddler whose irresponsible mother recklessly crossed the Straits of Florida on a rickety raft with said toddler!?! WTF??
I too opposed Joepa’s failed immigration policies, though I don’t believe the bizarre conspiracy theory you spin. Regardless, those failed policies don’t excuse Don’s performative cruelty. But, it’s always interesting to see self-described “Christians” act in such an unchristian way. Pope Leo’s words might serve as healthier inspiration for MAGA, Don’s relationship to religion seems to be the God Bless the USA bibles he scams his followers with.
Another sad legacy of Don is him showing us the number of fellow Americans who eschew the values embedded in our Declaration:
“We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”
It is not a conspiracy, but rather rudimentary Math and demography. American self sorting began before Covid. The process accelerated when many Red States reopened schools in Aug 2020, while many Blue State schools, institutions and commerce remained closed or restricted for another 12-18 months.
Toss in remote work and industries that were once contained to only a few areas of the nation, now spread across the country, and 2030 Reapportionment will be one of the most consequential in US history. Dallas now sports more financial jobs than NYC. Texas more Fortune 500 headquarters than CA. Miami a plethora of investment banks. All as Boomers retire, en mass, and head for FL, SC and other warm Red States.
In the year 2000, most US demographers assumed Texas would surpass CA as the most populace state around 2100. Most now expect the Texas population to exceed CA's around 2050, give or take 5 years. US population shifts of that at magnitude, in a relatively short period of time, are rare.
Most Americans forget Dems once controlled the House for 3 straight decades. Reapportionment and the end of Sect 2, for all practical purposes, within just a few years, will greatly reduce Dem political power, if they cannot pump bodies into Blue States bleeding American residents. Residents need not be citizens or even documented to be counted for Reapportionment. They need only a pulse.
I wouldn't fret over blue jurisdictions, around 70% of US GDP emanates from them. I'd fret more for the poor, rural, red jurisdictions who Don continues to screw with policies like his budget busting BBB and health care cuts.
But even if your conspiracy theory was true, it wouldn't excuse Don's performative cruelty. Maybe you'll understand if the next D prez sends masked thugs to patrol solely red jurisdictions looking for dudes in Carhartts driving pick up trucks, plugs a few of them in the back 10 times, and randomly begins snatching moms outta school pickup lines. My fave was the swat team accompanied by a video crew sent to "apprehend" the sandwich man... You apparently support such an America, so, good luck.
As an aside, do you realize that Barack Hussein Obama deported more people than Don? He just chose to do so without the performative violence and spectacle, and he focused on the criminals Don once claimed he too would focus on, until he didn't. Check the stats from Don's own government, you may be surprised who they're deporting. Odd behavior for a guy who sports two immigrants among his three wives, one of whom (Melania) brought her parents here by what y'all call "chain migration".
Meanwhile, remember the timeless Joseph Heller line from Catch-22: "Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't after you".
Enjoy your weekend Ronda, and enjoy MAGA's Middle East war.
What about the values embedded in the Preamble of our Constitution? We the people…promote the general welfare….secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity.
I’m all for that as well. Merely adhering to the long established notion of due process would suffice. Thankfully the article 3 branch has been a significant bulwark against administration lawlessness, including dozens of Don appointed judges. This has been particularly important given the supine nature of the current article 1 branch.
Actually, they're using the constitution you cited above. The wording is quite plain, hence the consistent interpretation the last few hundred years.
JD's wife is such a person, it's interesting you support deporting her. I'm sure you'd also support deporting Melania's parents, who she brought here via "chain migration".
Well good luck my friend, I doubt the constitution is going anywhere. America isn't for everyone, the concept of equality is too radical for many who fancy themselves superior.
I figured Usha would confuse you, you're just gonna have to deal with the reality that she's as American as you, even though she's brown. Likewise two of Don's three wives, and Melania's parents.
There was a time that Italians, Germans, the Irish, Jews , etc. were also considered too brown, or too "something". Hang in there dude, no need to be so frightened.
“To separate cause from correlation, the authors exploit a natural experiment no one would have designed: the deaths of the Second World War. Casualties from the conflict fell overwhelmingly on young men, while civilian losses fell across every age. Countries that lost more of their young men to the fighting were richer per capita decades later; countries that lost civilians broadly were poorer. What raised incomes was not the scale of the loss but its concentration among the young, which is the same scarcity a falling birth rate produces by gentler means.”
Does this analysis account for the effects of the assistance provided by the Marshall Plan? I didn’t see it mentioned as either a cause of enabler of all that innovation. It needs to be explored.
A similar natural experiment was the Black Death. It had very profound effects beyond the population decline. The balance of power between peasants and landowners was permanently altered leading to the demise of serfdom and the invention of labor saving machinery.
That Krugman is shocked by his own change of mind about free trade is itself shocking, because he is well read on Keynes, and Keynes himself turned against it:
"I was brought up, like most Englishmen, to respect free trade not only as an economic doctrine which a rational and instructed person could not doubt, but almost as a part of the moral law. I regarded ordinary departures from it as being at the same time an imbecility and an outrage. ....
....
....There may be some financial calculation which shows it to be advantageous that my savings should be invested in whatever quarter of the habitable globe shows the greatest marginal efficiency of capital or the highest rate of interest. But experience is accumulating that remoteness between ownership and operation is an evil in the relations among men, likely or certain in the long run to set up strains and enmities which will bring to nought the financial calculation.
National self-sufficiency, in short, though it costs something, may be becoming a luxury which we can afford, if we happen to want it.
I sympathize, therefore, with those who would minimize, rather than with those who would maximize, economic entanglement among nations. Ideas, knowledge, science, hospitality, travel—these are the things which should of their nature be international. But let goods be homespun whenever it is reasonably and conveniently possible, and, above all, let finance be primarily national."
I don't think there is a lack of labor anyway, if there were the costs would rise, not sink. Low wage labor here has hovered just over the state minimum for five years. When there was a temporary shortage during covid hourly rates jumped a little and you saw lots of churn as people looked for more money or better conditions, that ended with the massive importation in 22 and 23.
The outcome of a stable economic output with fewer workers and rising incomes is anathema to the ruling political class who demands a growing economy to tax in order to increase their power. A stable economy with growing per capital income should be the objective in a low birthrate situation. The fixation with GDP growth, instead of per capita or per working-age person, needs to be swept away.
It's always sad to read this kind of piece, where the author ignores the performative cruelty inherent in Don's immigration policies. There is a legitimate debate to be had with good faith actors of every perspective on these issues. There is also a way to execute those consensus policies without the violence and cruelty we've witnessed.
A sober analysis of administration policy must acknowledge this reality to be taken seriously. There are fellow human beings involved, we should be able to act like a civilized nation.
Establishment elites like AC have a special responsibility to lead on the values embedded in our Declaration. Assuming they believe in them...
The cruelty began with Dems who saw Blue State populations shrinking and decided to open the border, to spare Dems 2030 Reapportionment slaughter. Blue States will lose 10-12 House seats during the 2030 Reapportionment thanks to Americans with a choice, refusing to continue to dwell under Blue Rule. Without Biden's migrants they would likely lose a half dozen more.
The legal community has long assumed Sect 2 of the Voting Rights Act would fall and hand Reps 10-20 more House seats, after its' curtailment, if the law wasn't invalidated in whole.
The loss of 20-30 House seats, all gerrymandered for Reps before an election begins, is nearly insurmountable for Dems. This left Dems one option before 2030, to remain electorally relevant. Dissolve the border and offer Blue State migrants everything from free 5 star hotels, to free medical care, phones and delivered laundry, if they propped up sagging Blue State populations.
Dems knew the impending fallout. Immigration Law has not changed in decades. Mass deportations were assured, but Dems were playing a numbers game. If even 5 million of the 10 million remain after Trump, Dems are far better off than had the border remained in tact.
Most Americans have no idea millions of people roam the US with Final Orders of Deportation in hand, or that Dems waived 1.5 million previous deportees back in to the US under Biden, despite a lifetime ban.
The situation is horribly cruel. The creation of a permanent lower caste always is. The blame however does not belong to Trump, but with Progressives faced with the choice of amending their policies to appeal to Americans or importing people like livestock to be used for Reapportionment rescue.
Would love to see some evidence for this.
Republicans are the party that has benefited from unfettered illegal immigration as an anachronistic law provided fast-track citizenship to Cubans that entered the country illegally. Remember Elian Gonzalez?? Cuban exiles including Rubio threw a hissy fit because law and tradition and common decency said a father has more rights over his son than crazy “cousins” declaring “finders keepers, losers weepers!” with a toddler whose irresponsible mother recklessly crossed the Straits of Florida on a rickety raft with said toddler!?! WTF??
I too opposed Joepa’s failed immigration policies, though I don’t believe the bizarre conspiracy theory you spin. Regardless, those failed policies don’t excuse Don’s performative cruelty. But, it’s always interesting to see self-described “Christians” act in such an unchristian way. Pope Leo’s words might serve as healthier inspiration for MAGA, Don’s relationship to religion seems to be the God Bless the USA bibles he scams his followers with.
Another sad legacy of Don is him showing us the number of fellow Americans who eschew the values embedded in our Declaration:
“We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”
Be well Ronda.
It is not a conspiracy, but rather rudimentary Math and demography. American self sorting began before Covid. The process accelerated when many Red States reopened schools in Aug 2020, while many Blue State schools, institutions and commerce remained closed or restricted for another 12-18 months.
Toss in remote work and industries that were once contained to only a few areas of the nation, now spread across the country, and 2030 Reapportionment will be one of the most consequential in US history. Dallas now sports more financial jobs than NYC. Texas more Fortune 500 headquarters than CA. Miami a plethora of investment banks. All as Boomers retire, en mass, and head for FL, SC and other warm Red States.
In the year 2000, most US demographers assumed Texas would surpass CA as the most populace state around 2100. Most now expect the Texas population to exceed CA's around 2050, give or take 5 years. US population shifts of that at magnitude, in a relatively short period of time, are rare.
Most Americans forget Dems once controlled the House for 3 straight decades. Reapportionment and the end of Sect 2, for all practical purposes, within just a few years, will greatly reduce Dem political power, if they cannot pump bodies into Blue States bleeding American residents. Residents need not be citizens or even documented to be counted for Reapportionment. They need only a pulse.
I wouldn't fret over blue jurisdictions, around 70% of US GDP emanates from them. I'd fret more for the poor, rural, red jurisdictions who Don continues to screw with policies like his budget busting BBB and health care cuts.
But even if your conspiracy theory was true, it wouldn't excuse Don's performative cruelty. Maybe you'll understand if the next D prez sends masked thugs to patrol solely red jurisdictions looking for dudes in Carhartts driving pick up trucks, plugs a few of them in the back 10 times, and randomly begins snatching moms outta school pickup lines. My fave was the swat team accompanied by a video crew sent to "apprehend" the sandwich man... You apparently support such an America, so, good luck.
As an aside, do you realize that Barack Hussein Obama deported more people than Don? He just chose to do so without the performative violence and spectacle, and he focused on the criminals Don once claimed he too would focus on, until he didn't. Check the stats from Don's own government, you may be surprised who they're deporting. Odd behavior for a guy who sports two immigrants among his three wives, one of whom (Melania) brought her parents here by what y'all call "chain migration".
Meanwhile, remember the timeless Joseph Heller line from Catch-22: "Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't after you".
Enjoy your weekend Ronda, and enjoy MAGA's Middle East war.
What about the values embedded in the Preamble of our Constitution? We the people…promote the general welfare….secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity.
I’m all for that as well. Merely adhering to the long established notion of due process would suffice. Thankfully the article 3 branch has been a significant bulwark against administration lawlessness, including dozens of Don appointed judges. This has been particularly important given the supine nature of the current article 1 branch.
By Article 3 Branch you mean the one standing on “Stare Decisis” as the reason to give anyone born in this Country permanent access to our club?
Actually, they're using the constitution you cited above. The wording is quite plain, hence the consistent interpretation the last few hundred years.
JD's wife is such a person, it's interesting you support deporting her. I'm sure you'd also support deporting Melania's parents, who she brought here via "chain migration".
Well you’re being disingenuous (shocker) because what Kavanaugh said was that they should do it going forward.
I don’t care if Melania or Usha or Vivek get deported. In the case of Vivek, I’d love that. Because this isn’t about them, it’s about Americans.
Well good luck my friend, I doubt the constitution is going anywhere. America isn't for everyone, the concept of equality is too radical for many who fancy themselves superior.
I figured Usha would confuse you, you're just gonna have to deal with the reality that she's as American as you, even though she's brown. Likewise two of Don's three wives, and Melania's parents.
There was a time that Italians, Germans, the Irish, Jews , etc. were also considered too brown, or too "something". Hang in there dude, no need to be so frightened.
“To separate cause from correlation, the authors exploit a natural experiment no one would have designed: the deaths of the Second World War. Casualties from the conflict fell overwhelmingly on young men, while civilian losses fell across every age. Countries that lost more of their young men to the fighting were richer per capita decades later; countries that lost civilians broadly were poorer. What raised incomes was not the scale of the loss but its concentration among the young, which is the same scarcity a falling birth rate produces by gentler means.”
Does this analysis account for the effects of the assistance provided by the Marshall Plan? I didn’t see it mentioned as either a cause of enabler of all that innovation. It needs to be explored.
A similar natural experiment was the Black Death. It had very profound effects beyond the population decline. The balance of power between peasants and landowners was permanently altered leading to the demise of serfdom and the invention of labor saving machinery.
The Black Death killed only young men?
No it was different in the details but definitely an natural experiment with profound results.
That Krugman is shocked by his own change of mind about free trade is itself shocking, because he is well read on Keynes, and Keynes himself turned against it:
"I was brought up, like most Englishmen, to respect free trade not only as an economic doctrine which a rational and instructed person could not doubt, but almost as a part of the moral law. I regarded ordinary departures from it as being at the same time an imbecility and an outrage. ....
....
....There may be some financial calculation which shows it to be advantageous that my savings should be invested in whatever quarter of the habitable globe shows the greatest marginal efficiency of capital or the highest rate of interest. But experience is accumulating that remoteness between ownership and operation is an evil in the relations among men, likely or certain in the long run to set up strains and enmities which will bring to nought the financial calculation.
National self-sufficiency, in short, though it costs something, may be becoming a luxury which we can afford, if we happen to want it.
I sympathize, therefore, with those who would minimize, rather than with those who would maximize, economic entanglement among nations. Ideas, knowledge, science, hospitality, travel—these are the things which should of their nature be international. But let goods be homespun whenever it is reasonably and conveniently possible, and, above all, let finance be primarily national."
I don't think there is a lack of labor anyway, if there were the costs would rise, not sink. Low wage labor here has hovered just over the state minimum for five years. When there was a temporary shortage during covid hourly rates jumped a little and you saw lots of churn as people looked for more money or better conditions, that ended with the massive importation in 22 and 23.